Altcoin Market Update: ETH ETF Approval Set to Send These Tokens Parabolic!

Gain Gain Crypto
6 min readMay 21, 2024

The Altcoin Market’s Recent Boom

The altcoin market has experienced a significant surge over the past 24 hours, largely in response to the news about the potential approval of an Ethereum (ETH) Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). Numerous altcoins have shown impressive gains, with notable performers including Lio, up by 33%, and Arbitrum, which saw an 18% increase. Even meme coins like Bon Pepe have rebounded nicely, each rising by approximately 20%. However, the star of the show has been Ethereum itself, which saw a massive upward candle, spiking by 18.44%.

Ethereum’s Meteoric Rise

Ethereum’s substantial gain has been particularly remarkable given its previous sluggish movement and its trend of bleeding against Bitcoin. This sudden reversal saw ETH breaking through resistance levels and embarking on a substantial pump. Bitcoin, too, has benefited from the ETH ETF news, enjoying a notable boost.

Understanding the ETH/BTC Technical Analysis

To comprehend the recent developments, it’s crucial to examine the ETH/BTC pair. Prior to the pump, ETH/BTC was in a dismal state, with price action suggesting a doomsday scenario. However, the sudden reversal has taken many by surprise, especially given the prevailing bearish sentiment on platforms like Twitter. This dramatic shift underscores the volatility and unpredictability of the crypto market, often punishing those who are overly bearish.

The Impact of the Ethereum ETF News

The primary catalyst for Ethereum’s surge has been the unexpected boost in the probability of an ETH ETF approval. Analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart increased their estimated odds of approval to 75%, up from a previous 25%. This significant jump has spurred a flurry of activity and speculation within the market.

The potential approval is seen as a monumental event, with major players like VanEck, ARK, Grayscale, Invesco, iShares (BlackRock), Franklin Templeton, and Bitwise all having filed for Ethereum ETFs. The SEC’s recent actions, including requesting exchanges to update their filings, have fueled optimism about an impending approval. The decision on VanEck’s ETH ETF is expected as soon as May 23rd, adding to the anticipation.

Political and Market Implications

The possibility of an ETH ETF approval carries far-reaching implications beyond just Ethereum. Politically, the SEC’s shift in stance appears to be influenced by election-year dynamics, with both major parties recognizing the growing significance of crypto among voters. Former President Trump has expressed pro-crypto sentiments, adding to the political pressure on regulatory bodies.

This development also sets a precedent for the entire crypto market. If Ethereum, which has transitioned from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake, is recognized in an ETF, it could pave the way for other proof-of-stake blockchains. This would be a significant regulatory milestone, affecting numerous altcoins that follow similar models.

Market Reactions and Future Outlook

In response to the ETF news, Ethereum saw its market cap surge by $70.7 billion, marking the largest one-day gain in recent history. This explosive growth is reminiscent of past liquidity cycles, with the market entering what some analysts call the “banana zone,” a period characterized by macro summer liquidity.

Looking forward, the approval of an ETH ETF could propel Ethereum to new heights. Historical data suggests that Bitcoin rallied 75% in the 63 days following its spot ETF approval. Applying a similar trajectory to Ethereum could see it reaching around $6,446 within two months. However, this depends heavily on positive ETF flows, which were a significant driver of Bitcoin’s rally.

Altcoin Plays: Capitalizing on the Momentum

Pepe: The Memecoin Marvel

Pepe has demonstrated remarkable strength among altcoins, reacting the strongest to the recent Ethereum ETF news by pumping 20%. This comes after Pepe retested its major support level, much to the disbelief of those who had started to fade its rally. Remarkably, the price bounced precisely off the level marked on many analysts’ charts, highlighting the importance of technical analysis in crypto trading.

Pepe’s next exponential move is anticipated to come from breaking through its current resistance. Having formed a double top, the focus is on whether it can surpass this barrier without getting rejected and targeting the range low again. Traders who missed the initial Pepe run-up or today’s pump still have opportunities to engage. An 800,000 Pepe airdrop is available for those who deposit $100 using the provided link, allowing for no-KYC trading on Blof and additional benefits through trading volume accumulation.

Dogecoin: The Next Big Bet

Doge, identified as an ETH beta by analyst Fabian, has caught attention due to its strong positioning ahead of the ETF decision. Fabian’s logic focuses on looking beyond the immediate approval, considering which tokens might be next. The most likely contenders are those with CFTC Futures products, such as BCH, LTC, and Doge, recently launched by Coinbase.

Among these, Doge stands out due to its meme coin status and unique catalysts. Doge’s price action is particularly appealing, with a clear uptrend, higher lows, and a break above the 200 EMA on the 4-hour chart. The significant resistance level at 16 cents is crucial; flipping this resistance into support could launch Doge towards local highs of 22 cents and beyond. This setup is being closely watched, with a small position already taken and plans to add more upon a confirmed breakout.

Athena: The Reflexive Runner

Athena (ENA) is another ETH beta attracting attention. Highly reflexive, ENA benefits from positive funding rates, making it a strong performer in a bullish environment likely triggered by an ETH ETF approval. After its initial pump on launch and subsequent bleed, ENA is showing signs of reclaiming a major previous support level, now turned resistance, at the 86-cent region. This level also coincides with the 200 EMA resistance on the 4-hour chart, making a break and consolidation above this point a key indicator for potential longs.

Other Promising ETH Betas

Several other ETH betas are also showing promising signs of breaking out of major trends. These include:

  • ETHI: A liquid staking play on Ethereum, benefiting from the overall bullish sentiment.
  • Pendle: A DeFi token that has rebounded strongly despite previous bearish pressure. Identified as a strong performer, Pendle was recommended in the Discord community as early as April 30th at $4.20, with a support level at $3.60. It has since appreciated by 50%, proving its resilience and potential.

BCH and Litecoin: Preparing for the Next Wave

Litecoin (LTC) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH) are also in focus, especially considering the potential for future ETF approvals. Fabian’s insight into the next likely ETF candidates underscores the importance of these tokens. Between the two, Litecoin’s price action is particularly favorable, aligning with the strategic outlook on potential ETF filings.

Strategic Positioning

Given the current market conditions, traders are advised to focus on ETH betas for short-term gains. These tokens are likely to outperform in the lead-up to and following an ETH ETF approval. However, it’s essential to maintain a balanced approach, considering potential downside risks if the ETF is not approved. Implementing proper risk management strategies, such as setting stop-losses, can help mitigate losses.

Conclusion

The altcoin market is buzzing with excitement and opportunities, largely driven by the potential ETH ETF approval. Ethereum’s impressive surge has set the stage for a broader altcoin rally, with numerous tokens poised for significant gains. As always, maintaining a level-headed approach and implementing sound trading strategies will be key to capitalizing on this dynamic and rapidly evolving market landscape.

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Gain Gain Crypto

Cryptocurrency Enthusiast & Blockchain Advocate, Founder of "gaingaincoin.com". DeFi yield farming building up passive income. Altcoin news.